Coronavirus: This is a difficult time in India, a time of great sorrow.

 

Coronavirus: This is a difficult time in India, a time of great sorrow.

Bhramar Mukherjee, a professor of global public health and pathologist at the University of Michigan in the United States, has been monitoring the coronavirus situation in India since the beginning. He has also created a model of where the coronavirus situation is heading in India. He sent this article for BBC Bangla.

                                                   Professor Bhramar Mukherjee.

March 16, 2020 Berol was instructed to work from home in Michigan.

Some of us started thinking about Corona's statistics. Students, professors all work together, to alleviate their worries, I am doing something meaningful this delusion.

We have been doing that for over a year. We build a Corona Tracker that makes a daily assessment of India and each of its states on a daily basis and gives a forecast of where the number of infections and deaths may go in the future.

The corona curve in India reaches its peak in mid-September 2020 and then descends until mid-February 2021.

Experts from India and around the world are busy trying to find an explanation for this unprecedented phenomenon. Wedding, Palaparvan, Har Ki Puri are gathering in the holy bath. With fiery politics, huge electoral rallies.

People's mourning over the death of a loved one seems to have become a normal scene in Delhi.

The virus in him is doing his job behind the scenes, before he gets to play in the second round, he is making himself more fresh and strong, he will suddenly sneeze, when we take off our mask, the veil of direction horizon is opened again at the call of his attack.

Reading the history of Atimari, it is seen that the second wave often becomes a tidal wave, because this is the history that is repeated again and again, the instinct of human beings to break the rules and the rapid evolution of its rival cunning virus.

In India, too, these two processes have coincided. The virus has taken on new forms, altering its genome.

And tired of following the one-year warning barrier, we came out as easy victims of that powerful virus. Silently pressing the foot, the virus has taken us to this explosive death-number today. Tens of thousands of deaths occur every three days, according to official figures. Some of the documents obtained recently are indirect evidence of this.

We were not helpless

Was this virus Inferno irresistible? Was the fire insurmountable?

 

No, we were not helpless.

From the beginning of February, it was understood that the number of infections was increasing again. If all the meetings, gatherings and ceremonies had been stopped then, if we had controlled the movement from and to this state, if we had been wearing masks, if we had participated in the massive vaccination campaign, we would not be in this situation today.

But we and the leadership of the country have gone through the fire with great vigor. Today we realize how much last year's country pair 'Lockdown' helped to alleviate the virus curve, expand over time or 'flatten'.

                                  Many people are dying in the hospital due to lack of oxygen.

But there is no benefit in making a fuss. Not a particle of the past can be changed.

What's coming up?

According to our model the peak is coming in the first two weeks of May, then it goes down to the end of June, July.

But remember this is not the last wave. Get vaccinated. This is the victory note for us to get out of this war. Even after that, stay outside and wear a mask.

Where the state is absent, the individual has to do his social duty. Can't see the hospital beds, oxygen cylinders, who is finding all this, on Twitter and Facebook?

                               There is not enough space in the capital Delhi for cremation.

People, ordinary people, are looking for relief from this ordeal by helping each other. People are building resistance, holding people's hands. This is the only glimmer of silver light in this darkness.

A few of us started working together a year ago. How many people use that corona tracker today. The New York Times, the Washington Post, the BBC and Time Magazine have reported on our work in the last few days.

It is a revolution made with numerology. A sample of everyone working together.

Science, humanity and public service are our only help in getting out of this predicament.

Let us come together and fulfill our responsibilities, because the people are crying loudly, the state has not stood by them. Jan-Ganesha has a great responsibility in public health, we do it jointly, Goharan defeated this tragic powerful virus in the next round.